Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.683915 0.873639 1.086761 1.341183 1.633936 1.957655 2.340056
2025-08-31 0.415581 0.649314 0.945990 1.337672 1.828839 2.412729 3.147395
2025-09-07 0.280085 0.534666 0.896873 1.417834 2.116931 2.993733 4.146968
2025-09-14 0.185057 0.438003 0.841658 1.469963 2.363980 3.535729 5.131868
2025-09-21 0.117688 0.354198 0.779481 1.493378 2.564242 4.022140 6.067070
2025-09-28 0.067740 0.273795 0.697688 1.467004 2.682020 4.396219 6.865713
2025-10-05 0.041300 0.226156 0.657448 1.494486 2.873192 4.873747 7.815526
2025-10-12 0.023327 0.184062 0.613666 1.505015 3.033000 5.308365 8.716882
2025-10-19 0.010374 0.139035 0.546749 1.460054 3.095512 5.598761 9.421642
2025-10-26 0.003914 0.105517 0.492270 1.426205 3.168045 5.901246 10.147337
2025-11-02 0.001378 0.085280 0.463423 1.436530 3.312218 6.313783 11.039155
2025-11-09 0.000178 0.061965 0.412653 1.390257 3.350774 6.561164 11.693460
2025-11-16 0.000020 0.054302 0.411166 1.454718 3.595730 7.147439 12.874032
2025-11-23 NaN 0.042156 0.385533 1.458958 3.730026 7.562797 13.812077
2025-11-30 NaN 0.038776 0.394703 1.548193 4.028317 8.251194 15.176036
2025-12-07 NaN 0.033432 0.391510 1.605721 4.268587 8.851689 16.419231
2025-12-14 NaN 0.026911 0.377107 1.631703 4.448217 9.356930 17.526918
2025-12-21 NaN 0.018927 0.345049 1.604212 4.519245 9.682665 18.364597
2025-12-28 NaN 0.015035 0.334395 1.633716 4.704957 10.204077 19.512799
2026-01-04 NaN 0.011255 0.318605 1.645052 4.852730 10.663514 20.570959
2026-01-11 NaN 0.006816 0.285627 1.597303 4.873079 10.904080 21.289397
2026-01-18 NaN 0.003980 0.258618 1.561318 4.914128 11.179301 22.065309
2026-01-25 NaN 0.002646 0.246633 1.572325 5.056629 11.634164 23.133005